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News July 2012

The Impending Ending

on Sunday, March 31, 2013

It is our belief that we are approaching the end of the timeframe in which preparations for the collapse of civilisation are possible. The weather is increasingly unstable as a result of climate change - particularly the shifting behaviour of the jet stream as a result of the increasingly rapid positive feedback underway in the Arctic. It cannot escape the attention of the general public or governments (those that are not already considering it and preparing police state oriented responses) that the writing is on the wall and agriculture is seriously under threat.

An increasing sense of fear is detectable within those who know the most about the subject area. It is only a matter of time until that fear takes root within the mainstream population. The human response to the threat posed by agricultural failure is likely to magnify the rate of collapse as nations and individuals start to compete for resources they know will be limited. Given that many aspects of human life are forwards looking we can also reasonably expect to see some very serious and profound effects upon the economy. After all what is the point of a long term investment if there is no long term? What use is a pension plan in a world without modern civilisation?

Our worst case scenario (and relatively probable case) is that this process will begin later this year following another dramatic retreat of the sea ice as the volume jumps ever closer to zero at the time of the summer minimum. As the logistics of daily life become ever harder - and competition from those trying to beat the herd mounts ahead of the stampede - the window in which to prepare an appropriate response to the loss of civilisation will close.

Even in the best case - this scenario is likely to be closer at hand than almost anyone would be comfortable admitting to themselves. Food prices are already at levels on the brink of those that historically trigger social unrest in some regions with the stage set for prices to continue to rise this year.

It would appear that very few people indeed have even considered the issue at this date, let alone made any attempt at serious preparations.

Things can change very quickly. In 1938 Chamberlain returned to Britain declaring "peace in our time" to cheering crowds. One year later - the world was plunged into war. On the other hand - people are capable of great things - if only they will try, instead of acting as passive observers as things unwind.